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GradedCalls

Doom versus melt-up@smallcapsam

Demo call

Smallcap Sam

@smallcapsam · Small-cap beta

bullishIWMmedium conviction

Reference IWM ($299.96)

Breadth catch-up. IWM 305.36 if the weekend was already priced. Invalid under 296.36.

  • IWM target 305.36
  • IWM invalidation 296.36

Named tickers: IWM

Graded on the SPY, QQQ, and DIA average, plus VIX.

Posted Saturday, August 22 at 4:00 PM ET inside the collect window.

IWM Russell 2000 ETFFriday session close, Monday noon, then the official closes
Fri refMon openMon noonWed closeFri close
  • Fri ref299.96
  • Mon open299.55
  • Mon noon298.46
  • Wed close298.93
  • Fri close295.75

Weekend reference is the prior Friday Yahoo Finance regular-session close for SPY, QQQ, DIA, and VIX. Monday's gap uses the regular-session open. Monday noon is the open of the 12:00 PM ET 5-minute bar. Wednesday and Friday use the official daily close (4:00 PM ET, or 1:00 PM ET on an early close). A closed session or a close that is not due yet is left blank.

Settled grades

The words do not change. Each settled horizon rescores this call against recorded prints measured from Friday's regular-session close.

  1. Friday close to the open

    Monday open

    9:30 AM ET

    Mon openIWM($299.55)−0.1%against call

    Rank 13 of 19

    Market-0.24%against callsigned -0.24% · VIX +5.09%

    • Direction vs the market6/50
    • Levels16/20
    • Specificity12/15
    • VIX factor0/15
    Open the Monday open board

  2. Open of the 12:00 PM ET 5-minute bar

    Monday noon

    12:00 PM ET

    Mon noonIWM($298.46)−0.5%against call

    Rank 13 of 19

    Market-0.20%against callsigned -0.20% · VIX +3.83%

    • Direction vs the market10/50
    • Levels16/20
    • Specificity12/15
    • VIX factor0/15
    Open the Monday noon board

  3. Same week, at the close

    Wed close

    4:00 PM ET

    Wed closeIWM($298.93)−0.3%against call

    Rank 11 of 19

    Market+0.04%flat vs callsigned +0.04% · VIX +0.53%

    • Direction vs the market14/50
    • Levels16/20
    • Specificity12/15
    • VIX factor0/15
    Open the Wed close board

  4. Same week, final close

    Fri close

    4:00 PM ET

    Fri closeIWM($295.75)−1.4%against call

    Rank 8 of 19

    Market+0.48%with callsigned +0.48% · VIX -4.63%

    • Direction vs the market26/50
    • Levels2/20
    • Specificity12/15
    • VIX factor9/15
    Open the Fri close board