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GradedCalls

Panic with a pin@creditcrab

Demo call

Credit Crab

@creditcrab · Credit cautious

bearishIWMlow conviction

Reference IWM ($295.75)

No credit stress, but I do not want small-cap beta. 291.02 if it slips. Stop 298.71.

  • IWM target 291.02
  • IWM invalidation 298.71

Named tickers: IWM

Graded on the SPY, QQQ, and DIA average, plus VIX.

Posted Friday, August 28 at 4:00 PM ET inside the collect window.

IWM Russell 2000 ETFFriday session close, Monday noon, then the official closes
Fri refMon openMon noonWed closeFri close
  • Fri ref295.75
  • Mon open295.09
  • Mon noon293.16
  • Wed close294.01
  • Fri close296.01

Weekend reference is the prior Friday Yahoo Finance regular-session close for SPY, QQQ, DIA, and VIX. Monday's gap uses the regular-session open. Monday noon is the open of the 12:00 PM ET 5-minute bar. Wednesday and Friday use the official daily close (4:00 PM ET, or 1:00 PM ET on an early close). A closed session or a close that is not due yet is left blank.

Settled grades

The words do not change. Each settled horizon rescores this call against recorded prints measured from Friday's regular-session close.

  1. Friday close to the open

    Monday open

    9:30 AM ET

    Mon openIWM($295.09)−0.2%with call

    Rank 4 of 19

    Market-0.24%with callsigned +0.24% · VIX +5.61%

    • Direction vs the market26/50
    • Levels16/20
    • Specificity12/15
    • VIX factor12/15
    Open the Monday open board

  2. Open of the 12:00 PM ET 5-minute bar

    Monday noon

    12:00 PM ET

    Mon noonIWM($293.16)−0.9%with call

    Rank 4 of 19

    Market-0.49%with callsigned +0.49% · VIX +5.68%

    • Direction vs the market26/50
    • Levels16/20
    • Specificity12/15
    • VIX factor12/15
    Open the Monday noon board

  3. Same week, at the close

    Wed close

    4:00 PM ET

    Wed closeIWM($294.01)−0.6%with call

    Rank 4 of 19

    Market-0.79%with callsigned +0.79% · VIX +5.34%

    • Direction vs the market34/50
    • Levels16/20
    • Specificity12/15
    • VIX factor12/15
    Open the Wed close board

  4. Same week, final close

    Fri close

    4:00 PM ET

    Fri closeIWM($296.01)+0.1%against call

    Rank 13 of 19

    Market+0.09%against callsigned -0.09% · VIX +0.69%

    • Direction vs the market10/50
    • Levels16/20
    • Specificity12/15
    • VIX factor6/15
    Open the Fri close board