Collect Wednesday, August 26 at 12:00 PM ET through Sunday, August 30 at 5:00 PM ET. Readout week of Aug 31.
Friday close to the open
Monday open
Monday, August 31 at 9:30 AM ET
Tape-0.24%against call
Crowd bullish · 56% bullish weight
Open of the 12:00 PM ET 5-minute bar
Monday noon
Monday, August 31 at 12:00 PM ET
Tape-0.49%against call
Crowd bullish · 56% bullish weight
Same week, at the close
Wed close
Wednesday, September 2 at 4:00 PM ET
Tape-0.79%against call
Crowd bullish · 56% bullish weight
Same week, final close
Fri close
Friday, September 4 at 4:00 PM ET
Tape+0.09%with call
Crowd bullish · 56% bullish weight
Wednesday close, same weekend cohort: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are -0.79% from Friday's regular-session close. The cohort was 56% conviction-weighted bullish. Realized tape is bearish. Weekend Noise Index is 47% panic posts. The crowd is fighting the tape so far. Descriptive only. Not a signal.
Conviction-weighted consensus
56% bullish · 44% bearish · crowd bullish
Watchlist and viral posts share this weekly board.
Wed close board
Panic with a pin
GC Scale: STRONG 70%+, PROVISIONAL 40–69%, WEAK under 40%; 0% is EXIT LIQUIDITY.
Saturday, August 29 at 12:00 AM ET · DEMO
“Fail at 771.66 and rotate back to 766.27. This is not a breakdown call. Stop 773.97.”
bearishSPY
Thursday, August 27 at 4:00 PM ET · DEMO
“Fade a Monday pop back to 715.00 on QQQ. Resistance 719.30. Wrong above 722.16.”
bearishQQQ
Wednesday, August 26 at 10:00 PM ET · DEMO
“WWIII weekend. Markets are doomed. Sell the open. SPY crash magnet 746.27, shelf 743.19. Cover only through 778.58.”
bearishSPY
Friday, August 28 at 4:00 PM ET · DEMO
“No credit stress, but I do not want small-cap beta. 291.02 if it slips. Stop 298.71.”
bearishIWM
Sunday, August 30 at 6:00 AM ET · DEMO
“This calm is the crash setup. 746.27 is in play. I am wrong above 778.58.”
bearishSPY
Wednesday, August 26 at 6:00 PM ET · DEMO
“Leadership rolls. 702.10 on QQQ if the range breaks down. Invalid above 725.03.”
bearishQQQ
Thursday, August 27 at 6:00 PM ET · DEMO
“Selloff spike. The Dow proxy gaps and does not bounce. DIA 524.36. Wrong above 540.41.”
bearishDIA
Friday, August 28 at 12:00 AM ET · DEMO
“Realized stays quiet, but a drift under 760.12 pays the hedge. Stop 775.50.”
bearishSPY
Sunday, August 30 at 4:00 PM ET · DEMO
“Something about this tape feels tired. I would not chase strength.”
bearishNo ticker named
Thursday, August 27 at 10:00 AM ET · DEMO
“Apple respects 317.78 and tags 322.90. I leave the add under 315.86.”
bullishAAPL
Friday, August 28 at 8:00 AM ET · DEMO
“NVDA bases and pushes 222.99. Leave it under 213.63.”
bullishNVDA
Sunday, August 30 at 12:00 PM ET · DEMO
“Pin just over Friday. Long against 767.81, resistance 773.20, target a tag of 772.43. Out under 764.73.”
bullishSPY
Saturday, August 29 at 4:00 PM ET · DEMO
“IWM holds 293.98 and squeezes toward 299.89. Invalid under 292.20.”
bullishIWM
Saturday, August 29 at 8:00 PM ET · DEMO
“Complacency bid. The panic posts are the fuel. SPY 780.89, invalid under 761.66.”
bullishSPY
Wednesday, August 26 at 2:00 PM ET · DEMO
“Gamma pins, then releases higher toward 778.58. I am out under 763.20.”
bullishSPY
Friday, August 28 at 2:00 PM ET · DEMO
“Melt-up spike. Weekend doom is the squeeze. QQQ 730.76. Leave it under 707.83.”
bullishQQQ
Sunday, August 30 at 12:00 AM ET · DEMO
“Melt-up after the quiet posts. 784.74 is still the number. I am wrong under 755.50.”
bullishSPY
Thursday, August 27 at 2:00 AM ET · DEMO
“Microsoft is a 516.61 magnet. Long into that print, out through 508.39. Resistance sits at 517.64.”
bullishMSFT
Saturday, August 29 at 8:00 AM ET · DEMO
“Yields stall here. TLT back to 83.87. Out if 82.05 breaks.”
bullishTLT
Share of this weekend's calls tagged panic, crash, or selloff, next to the equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA move from Friday's regular-session close. Descriptive only. Not a score.
47% panic · 53% melt-up
Engagement-weighted panic share 56%.
Monday open
-0.24%
Monday noon
-0.49%
VIX at the open
+5.61%
VIX at noon
+5.68%
Market move used for grading
