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GradedCalls

Weekend doom@creditcrab

Demo call

Credit Crab

@creditcrab · Credit cautious

bearishIWMmedium conviction

Reference IWM ($296.01)

Small caps do not survive a war open. 290.09 IWM. I am wrong above 299.56.

  • IWM target 290.09
  • IWM invalidation 299.56

Named tickers: IWM

Graded on the SPY, QQQ, and DIA average, plus VIX.

Posted Friday, September 4 at 4:00 PM ET inside the collect window.

IWM Russell 2000 ETFFriday session close, Monday noon, then the official closes
Fri refWed closeFri close
  • Fri ref296.01
  • Mon openNot graded yet
  • Mon noonNot graded yet
  • Wed close290.64
  • Fri close288.89

Weekend reference is the prior Friday Yahoo Finance regular-session close for SPY, QQQ, DIA, and VIX. Monday's gap uses the regular-session open. Monday noon is the open of the 12:00 PM ET 5-minute bar. Wednesday and Friday use the official daily close (4:00 PM ET, or 1:00 PM ET on an early close). A closed session or a close that is not due yet is left blank.

Settled grades

The words do not change. Each settled horizon rescores this call against recorded prints measured from Friday's regular-session close.

  1. Same week, at the close

    Wed close

    4:00 PM ET

    Wed closeIWM($290.64)−1.8%with call

    Rank 6 of 19

    Market-1.08%with callsigned +1.08% · VIX +13.28%

    • Direction vs the market42/50
    • Levels16/20
    • Specificity12/15
    • VIX factor15/15
    Open the Wed close board

  2. Same week, final close

    Fri close

    4:00 PM ET

    Fri closeIWM($288.89)−2.4%with call

    Rank 1 of 19

    Market-0.96%with callsigned +0.96% · VIX +9.02%

    • Direction vs the market34/50
    • Levels20/20
    • Specificity12/15
    • VIX factor12/15
    Open the Fri close board
Not graded yet

These horizons are not graded: the market was closed for Labor Day.

  • Friday close to the open

    Monday open

    Not graded yet · market closed for Labor Day (Mon Sep 7), no Monday open or noon print, so this stays ungraded.

    Monday gap, Friday regular-session close to the 9:30 AM ET open is not published. Monday, September 7, 2026 was Labor Day. SPY, QQQ, and DIA have no regular-hours open and no 12:00 PM ET bar. Monday's gap and noon grades are left blank. Yahoo also printed a VIX daily bar that day and no noon bar; that bar is not used. The book is already 49% conviction-weighted bullish. No new calls are added between readouts.

  • Open of the 12:00 PM ET 5-minute bar

    Monday noon

    Not graded yet · market closed for Labor Day (Mon Sep 7), no Monday open or noon print, so this stays ungraded.

    Monday 12:00 PM ET weekend-noise grade is not published. Monday, September 7, 2026 was Labor Day. SPY, QQQ, and DIA have no regular-hours open and no 12:00 PM ET bar. Monday's gap and noon grades are left blank. Yahoo also printed a VIX daily bar that day and no noon bar; that bar is not used. The book is already 49% conviction-weighted bullish. No new calls are added between readouts.

Open what is not graded for this week