Credit Crab @creditcrab
Friday, September 4 at 4:00 PM ET · DEMO
78%STRONG
“Small caps do not survive a war open. 290.09 IWM. I am wrong above 299.56.”
bearishIWM
- Mon noon, Not graded yet
- Wed close, IWM ($290.64) −1.8%
- Fri close, IWM ($288.89) −2.4%
Fri close board
Collect Wednesday, September 2 at 12:00 PM ET through Sunday, September 6 at 5:00 PM ET. Readout week of Sep 7.
Friday close to the open
Monday open
Monday, September 7 at 9:30 AM ET
Market closed (Labor Day) · Not graded yet
Crowd split · 49% bullish weight
Open of the 12:00 PM ET 5-minute bar
Monday noon
Monday, September 7 at 12:00 PM ET
Market closed (Labor Day) · Not graded yet
Crowd split · 49% bullish weight
Same week, at the close
Wed close
Wednesday, September 9 at 4:00 PM ET
Tape-1.08%flat vs call
Crowd split · 49% bullish weight
Same week, final close
Fri close
Friday, September 11 at 4:00 PM ET
Tape-0.96%flat vs call
Crowd split · 49% bullish weight
What the market did
Friday close, final grade on the same weekend cohort: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are -0.96% from Friday's regular-session close. The cohort was 49% conviction-weighted bullish. Realized tape is bearish. Weekend Noise Index is 47% panic posts. The cohort was split, so the tape is the whole story. Descriptive only. Not a signal.
Conviction-weighted consensus
49% bullish · 51% bearish · crowd split
SPY+QQQ+DIA-0.96%flat vs call from Friday's close
19 graded calls
Watchlist and viral posts share this weekly board.
Not graded yet · 2 horizons are not graded: the market was closed for Labor Day.
Fri close board
Weekend doom
Latest checkpoint
GC Scale: STRONG 70%+, PROVISIONAL 40–69%, WEAK under 40%; 0% is EXIT LIQUIDITY.
Doom Scroll @doomscroll
Sunday, September 6 at 6:00 AM ET · DEMO
77%STRONG
“WWIII weekend. Markets are doomed. Sell the open. SPY 751.71 is the crash magnet, 750.17 is the shelf. I cover only if 779.43 sticks.”
bearishSPY
- Mon noon, Not graded yet
- Wed close, SPY ($762.40) −1.0%
- Fri close, SPY ($764.29) −0.8%
Doom Siren @doomsiren
Wednesday, September 2 at 10:00 PM ET · DEMO
77%STRONG
“WWIII weekend. Markets are doomed. Sell the open. SPY crash magnet 747.08, shelf 744.00. Cover only through 779.43.”
bearishSPY
- Mon noon, Not graded yet
- Wed close, SPY ($762.40) −1.0%
- Fri close, SPY ($764.29) −0.8%
Gap Fade @gapfade
Thursday, September 3 at 4:00 PM ET · DEMO
77%STRONG
“Classic weekend gap fade. QQQ back through 714.65. Resistance 724.71. Stop 729.03.”
bearishQQQ
- Mon noon, Not graded yet
- Wed close, QQQ ($716.31) −0.4%
- Fri close, QQQ ($714.88) −0.6%
Level Lena @levellena
Sunday, September 6 at 12:00 PM ET · DEMO
77%STRONG
“Sell the open into 776.35. Crash target 762.49, shelf 760.95, invalid through 779.43.”
bearishSPY
- Mon noon, Not graded yet
- Wed close, SPY ($762.40) −1.0%
- Fri close, SPY ($764.29) −0.8%
Futures Fox @futuresfox
Saturday, September 5 at 12:00 AM ET · DEMO
74%STRONG
“Sell the open. 764.03 cash is the crash retrace. Stop 777.89.”
bearishSPY
- Mon noon, Not graded yet
- Wed close, SPY ($762.40) −1.0%
- Fri close, SPY ($764.29) −0.8%
Macro Moth @macromoth
Wednesday, September 2 at 6:00 PM ET · DEMO
74%STRONG
“This is a crash, not a dip. QQQ back to 706.02. Wrong above 727.59.”
bearishQQQ
- Mon noon, Not graded yet
- Wed close, QQQ ($716.31) −0.4%
- Fri close, QQQ ($714.88) −0.6%
Open Selloff @openselloff
Thursday, September 3 at 6:00 PM ET · DEMO
74%STRONG
“Selloff spike. The Dow proxy gaps and does not bounce. DIA 523.40. Wrong above 539.42.”
bearishDIA
- Mon noon, Not graded yet
- Wed close, DIA ($524.07) −1.9%
- Fri close, DIA ($525.79) −1.6%
Vol Widow @volwidow
Friday, September 4 at 12:00 AM ET · DEMO
74%STRONG
“Own the crash. Spot to 760.95 pays for the weekend panic. Hedge dies above 777.89.”
bearishSPY
- Mon noon, Not graded yet
- Wed close, SPY ($762.40) −1.0%
- Fri close, SPY ($764.29) −0.8%
Dividend Druid @dividenddruid
Thursday, September 3 at 10:00 AM ET · DEMO
38%WEAK
“Add Apple through the weekend. 317.41 holds, 324.45 is the ask. Leave under 314.85.”
bullishAAPL
- Mon noon, Not graded yet
- Wed close, AAPL ($315.34) −1.4%
- Fri close, AAPL ($332.27) +3.8%
Call Wall @callwall
Saturday, September 5 at 8:00 PM ET · DEMO
31%WEAK
“Complacency bid. The panic posts are the fuel. SPY 781.74, invalid under 762.49.”
bullishSPY
- Mon noon, Not graded yet
- Wed close, SPY ($762.40) −1.0%
- Fri close, SPY ($764.29) −0.8%
Gamma Goblin @gammagoblin
Wednesday, September 2 at 2:00 PM ET · DEMO
31%WEAK
“The doom timeline is fuel for the call wall. QQQ 731.90 if Sunday holds a bid. Cut under 711.77.”
bullishQQQ
- Mon noon, Not graded yet
- Wed close, QQQ ($716.31) −0.4%
- Fri close, QQQ ($714.88) −0.6%
Hype Spike @hypespike
Friday, September 4 at 2:00 PM ET · DEMO
31%WEAK
“Melt-up spike. Weekend doom is the squeeze. QQQ 733.34. Leave it under 710.33.”
bullishQQQ
- Mon noon, Not graded yet
- Wed close, QQQ ($716.31) −0.4%
- Fri close, QQQ ($714.88) −0.6%
Perma Pump @permapump
Sunday, September 6 at 12:00 AM ET · DEMO
31%WEAK
“Euphoric melt-up. Weekend bears are exit liquidity. 787.13 SPY. I trail out only if 757.87 fails.”
bullishSPY
- Mon noon, Not graded yet
- Wed close, SPY ($762.40) −1.0%
- Fri close, SPY ($764.29) −0.8%
Tape Worm @tapeworm
Thursday, September 3 at 2:00 AM ET · DEMO
31%WEAK
“Opening drive continuation. Microsoft 505.70. I am wrong under 494.70.”
bullishMSFT
- Mon noon, Not graded yet
- Wed close, MSFT ($491.65) −1.6%
- Fri close, MSFT ($495.63) −0.8%
Nasdaq Nun @nasdaqnun
Friday, September 4 at 8:00 AM ET · DEMO
17%WEAK
“Leaders melt up through the panic posts. NVDA 236.81. Wrong under 226.21.”
bullishNVDA
- Mon noon, Not graded yet
- Wed close, NVDA ($223.67) −2.9%
- Fri close, NVDA ($218.29) −5.2%
Smallcap Sam @smallcapsam
Saturday, September 5 at 4:00 PM ET · DEMO
17%WEAK
“Breadth finally confirms. IWM 300.75. Invalid under 291.87.”
bullishIWM
- Mon noon, Not graded yet
- Wed close, IWM ($290.64) −1.8%
- Fri close, IWM ($288.89) −2.4%
Yield Yak @yieldyak
Saturday, September 5 at 8:00 AM ET · DEMO
17%WEAK
“If the doom bid is real, bonds catch it toward 83.36. Cut 81.22.”
bullishTLT
- Mon noon, Not graded yet
- Wed close, TLT ($81.73) −0.6%
- Fri close, TLT ($80.87) −1.6%
Narrative Ned @narrativened
Sunday, September 6 at 4:00 PM ET · DEMO
7%WEAK
“The weekend timeline is loud and wrong. Melt-up. The tape wants higher prices.”
bullishNo ticker named
- Mon noon, Not graded yet
- Wed close, SPY ($762.40) −1.0%
- Fri close, SPY ($764.29) −0.8%
Weekend Noise Index
Share of this weekend's calls tagged panic, crash, or selloff, next to the equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA move from Friday's regular-session close. Descriptive only. Not a score.
47% panic · 53% melt-up
Engagement-weighted panic share 56%.
Market closed (Labor Day) · no Monday prices
Market move used for grading
Market move used for grading
SPY
-0.77%
Fri close
DIA
-1.55%
Fri close
QQQ
-0.57%
Fri close
VIX
+9.02%
Fri close
AAPL
+3.84%
Fri close
IWM
-2.41%
Fri close
MSFT
-0.81%
Fri close
NVDA
-5.24%
Fri close
TLT
-1.63%
Fri close