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GradedCalls

Panic with a pin@yieldyak

Demo call

Yield Yak

@yieldyak · Rates

bullishTLTmedium conviction

Reference TLT ($82.88)

Yields stall here. TLT back to 83.87. Out if 82.05 breaks.

  • TLT target 83.87
  • TLT invalidation 82.05

Named tickers: TLT

Graded on the SPY, QQQ, and DIA average, plus VIX.

Posted Saturday, August 29 at 8:00 AM ET inside the collect window.

TLT 20+ Year Treasury ETFFriday session close, Monday noon, then the official closes
Fri refMon openMon noonWed closeFri close
  • Fri ref82.88
  • Mon open82.47
  • Mon noon82.25
  • Wed close81.95
  • Fri close82.21

Weekend reference is the prior Friday Yahoo Finance regular-session close for SPY, QQQ, DIA, and VIX. Monday's gap uses the regular-session open. Monday noon is the open of the 12:00 PM ET 5-minute bar. Wednesday and Friday use the official daily close (4:00 PM ET, or 1:00 PM ET on an early close). A closed session or a close that is not due yet is left blank.

Settled grades

The words do not change. Each settled horizon rescores this call against recorded prints measured from Friday's regular-session close.

  1. Friday close to the open

    Monday open

    9:30 AM ET

    Mon openTLT($82.47)−0.5%against call

    Rank 14 of 19

    Market-0.24%against callsigned -0.24% · VIX +5.61%

    • Direction vs the market6/50
    • Levels16/20
    • Specificity12/15
    • VIX factor0/15
    Open the Monday open board

  2. Open of the 12:00 PM ET 5-minute bar

    Monday noon

    12:00 PM ET

    Mon noonTLT($82.25)−0.8%against call

    Rank 13 of 19

    Market-0.49%against callsigned -0.49% · VIX +5.68%

    • Direction vs the market6/50
    • Levels16/20
    • Specificity12/15
    • VIX factor0/15
    Open the Monday noon board

  3. Same week, at the close

    Wed close

    4:00 PM ET

    Wed closeTLT($81.95)−1.1%against call

    Rank 19 of 19

    Market-0.79%against callsigned -0.79% · VIX +5.34%

    • Direction vs the market3/50
    • Levels2/20
    • Specificity12/15
    • VIX factor0/15
    Open the Wed close board

  4. Same week, final close

    Fri close

    4:00 PM ET

    Fri closeTLT($82.21)−0.8%against call

    Rank 5 of 19

    Market+0.09%with callsigned +0.09% · VIX +0.69%

    • Direction vs the market20/50
    • Levels16/20
    • Specificity12/15
    • VIX factor0/15
    Open the Fri close board