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Demo watchlist account · rank 14 of 15 in this bucket

Yield Yak

@yieldyak · Rates

Demo account. Rates path expressed through the long bond ETF.

Average grade
34%
Hit
39%
STRONG rate
11%
WEAK rate
61%
Graded calls
5

Rank 14 of 15

The number is the average of the furthest graded checkpoint on each call. Hit is the share of graded calls that were right. Best 54%. Worst 17%.

DEMO weekend book

Graded checkpoints only. A checkpoint with no grade yet is not on this card.

  • Yield Yak @yieldyak

    Saturday, September 19 at 8:00 AM ET · DEMO

    31%WEAK

    “The reopen bid leaks into bonds. TLT 80.11. Cover above 82.06.”

    bearishTLT

    • Mon noon, TLT ($81.64) +0.5%
    • Wed close, TLT ($80.46) −1.0%
    • Fri close, TLT ($79.32) −2.4%

Same noise, next week

Graded checkpoints only. A checkpoint with no grade yet is not on this card.

  • Yield Yak @yieldyak

    Saturday, September 12 at 8:00 AM ET · DEMO

    66%PROVISIONAL

    “Stocks up, bonds down. TLT 79.90. I cover above 81.68.”

    bearishTLT

    • Mon noon, TLT ($81.23) +0.4%
    • Wed close, TLT ($80.88) 0.0%
    • Fri close, TLT ($81.25) +0.5%

Weekend doom

Settled grades only. Closed sessions are not on this card.

  • Yield Yak @yieldyak

    Saturday, September 5 at 8:00 AM ET · DEMO

    17%WEAK

    “If the doom bid is real, bonds catch it toward 83.36. Cut 81.22.”

    bullishTLT

    • Mon noon, Not graded yet
    • Wed close, TLT ($81.73) −0.6%
    • Fri close, TLT ($80.87) −1.6%

Not graded yet · 2 horizons are not graded: the market was closed for Labor Day.

Panic with a pin

Graded checkpoints only. A checkpoint with no grade yet is not on this card.

  • Yield Yak @yieldyak

    Saturday, August 29 at 8:00 AM ET · DEMO

    34%WEAK

    “Yields stall here. TLT back to 83.87. Out if 82.05 breaks.”

    bullishTLT

    • Mon noon, TLT ($82.25) −0.8%
    • Wed close, TLT ($81.95) −1.1%
    • Fri close, TLT ($82.21) −0.8%

Doom versus melt-up

Graded checkpoints only. A checkpoint with no grade yet is not on this card.

  • Yield Yak @yieldyak

    Saturday, August 22 at 8:00 AM ET · DEMO

    57%PROVISIONAL

    “The long bond leaks toward 80.82 before anyone says slowdown. Invalid above 82.87.”

    bearishTLT

    • Mon noon, TLT ($82.61) +0.7%
    • Wed close, TLT ($83.30) +1.5%
    • Fri close, TLT ($82.88) +1.0%