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GradedCalls

Same noise, next week@yieldyak

Demo call

Yield Yak

@yieldyak · Rates

bearishTLTmedium conviction

Reference TLT ($80.87)

Stocks up, bonds down. TLT 79.90. I cover above 81.68.

  • TLT target 79.90
  • TLT invalidation 81.68

Named tickers: TLT

Graded on the SPY, QQQ, and DIA average, plus VIX.

Posted Saturday, September 12 at 8:00 AM ET inside the collect window.

TLT 20+ Year Treasury ETFFriday session close, Monday noon, then the official closes
Fri refMon openMon noonWed closeFri close
  • Fri ref80.87
  • Mon open80.82
  • Mon noon81.23
  • Wed close80.88
  • Fri close81.25

Weekend reference is the prior Friday Yahoo Finance regular-session close for SPY, QQQ, DIA, and VIX. Monday's gap uses the regular-session open. Monday noon is the open of the 12:00 PM ET 5-minute bar. Wednesday and Friday use the official daily close (4:00 PM ET, or 1:00 PM ET on an early close). A closed session or a close that is not due yet is left blank.

Settled grades

The words do not change. Each settled horizon rescores this call against recorded prints measured from Friday's regular-session close.

  1. Friday close to the open

    Monday open

    9:30 AM ET

    Mon openTLT($80.82)−0.1%flat

    Rank 4 of 19

    Market-0.85%with callsigned +0.85% · VIX +10.48%

    • Direction vs the market34/50
    • Levels16/20
    • Specificity12/15
    • VIX factor15/15
    Open the Monday open board

  2. Open of the 12:00 PM ET 5-minute bar

    Monday noon

    12:00 PM ET

    Mon noonTLT($81.23)+0.4%against call

    Rank 3 of 19

    Market-0.38%with callsigned +0.38% · VIX +5.87%

    • Direction vs the market26/50
    • Levels16/20
    • Specificity12/15
    • VIX factor12/15
    Open the Monday noon board

  3. Same week, at the close

    Wed close

    4:00 PM ET

    Wed closeTLT($80.88)0.0%flat

    Rank 5 of 19

    Market-1.59%with callsigned +1.59% · VIX +11.81%

    • Direction vs the market42/50
    • Levels16/20
    • Specificity12/15
    • VIX factor15/15
    Open the Wed close board

  4. Same week, final close

    Fri close

    4:00 PM ET

    Fri closeTLT($81.25)+0.5%against call

    Rank 3 of 19

    Market-0.44%with callsigned +0.44% · VIX -6.50%

    • Direction vs the market26/50
    • Levels16/20
    • Specificity12/15
    • VIX factor0/15
    Open the Fri close board