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Fri close board

WeeksSame noise, next week

Collect Wednesday, September 9 at 12:00 PM ET through Sunday, September 13 at 5:00 PM ET. Readout week of Sep 14.

What the market did

Friday close, final grade on the same weekend cohort: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are -0.44% from Friday's regular-session close. The cohort was 62% conviction-weighted bullish. Realized tape is bearish. Weekend Noise Index is 37% panic posts. The crowd is fighting the tape so far. Descriptive only. Not a signal.

Conviction-weighted consensus

62% bullish · 38% bearish · crowd bullish

SPY+QQQ+DIA-0.44%against call from Friday's close

19 graded calls

Watchlist and viral posts share this weekly board.

Fri close board

Same noise, next week

Latest checkpoint

GC Scale: STRONG 70%+, PROVISIONAL 40–69%, WEAK under 40%; 0% is EXIT LIQUIDITY.

Doom Siren @doomsiren

Wednesday, September 9 at 10:00 PM ET · DEMO

57%PROVISIONAL

“WWIII weekend. Markets are doomed. Sell the open. SPY crash magnet 741.36, shelf 738.30. Cover only through 773.46.”

bearishSPY

  • Mon noon, SPY ($761.77) −0.3%
  • Wed close, SPY ($754.05) −1.3%
  • Fri close, SPY ($761.69) −0.3%
Gap Fade @gapfade

Thursday, September 10 at 4:00 PM ET · DEMO

57%PROVISIONAL

“Monday strength is a fade back to 759.70. Resistance 767.35. Stop 770.40.”

bearishSPY

  • Mon noon, SPY ($761.77) −0.3%
  • Wed close, SPY ($754.05) −1.3%
  • Fri close, SPY ($761.69) −0.3%
Doom Scroll @doomscroll

Sunday, September 13 at 6:00 AM ET · DEMO

54%PROVISIONAL

“Last-chance crash call. Markets are doomed into 742.89, or I am done above 771.93.”

bearishSPY

  • Mon noon, SPY ($761.77) −0.3%
  • Wed close, SPY ($754.05) −1.3%
  • Fri close, SPY ($761.69) −0.3%
Macro Moth @macromoth

Wednesday, September 9 at 6:00 PM ET · DEMO

54%PROVISIONAL

“Fade the grind. QQQ 700.58. Wrong above 723.46.”

bearishQQQ

  • Mon noon, QQQ ($709.79) −0.7%
  • Wed close, QQQ ($704.72) −1.4%
  • Fri close, QQQ ($721.45) +0.9%
Open Selloff @openselloff

Thursday, September 10 at 6:00 PM ET · DEMO

54%PROVISIONAL

“Selloff spike. The Dow proxy gaps and does not bounce. DIA 515.27. Wrong above 531.05.”

bearishDIA

  • Mon noon, DIA ($525.27) −0.1%
  • Wed close, DIA ($515.22) −2.0%
  • Fri close, DIA ($515.88) −1.9%
Vol Widow @volwidow

Friday, September 11 at 12:00 AM ET · DEMO

54%PROVISIONAL

“Hedge the grind. QQQ 706.30 pays for the puts. Hedge off above 722.03.”

bearishQQQ

  • Mon noon, QQQ ($709.79) −0.7%
  • Wed close, QQQ ($704.72) −1.4%
  • Fri close, QQQ ($721.45) +0.9%
Yield Yak @yieldyak

Saturday, September 12 at 8:00 AM ET · DEMO

54%PROVISIONAL

“Stocks up, bonds down. TLT 79.90. I cover above 81.68.”

bearishTLT

  • Mon noon, TLT ($81.23) +0.4%
  • Wed close, TLT ($80.88) 0.0%
  • Fri close, TLT ($81.25) +0.5%
Dividend Druid @dividenddruid

Thursday, September 10 at 10:00 AM ET · DEMO

49%PROVISIONAL

“Apple grinds to 336.26. 329.61 is the add. I am out under 326.95.”

bullishAAPL

  • Mon noon, AAPL ($335.06) +0.8%
  • Wed close, AAPL ($332.41) 0.0%
  • Fri close, AAPL ($336.13) +1.2%
Level Lena @levellena

Sunday, September 13 at 12:00 PM ET · DEMO

49%PROVISIONAL

“Accept above the reference. Target 771.93, supply at 773.46, invalid under 758.18.”

bullishSPY

  • Mon noon, SPY ($761.77) −0.3%
  • Wed close, SPY ($754.05) −1.3%
  • Fri close, SPY ($761.69) −0.3%
Call Wall @callwall

Saturday, September 12 at 8:00 PM ET · DEMO

46%PROVISIONAL

“Complacency bid. The panic posts are the fuel. SPY 775.75, invalid under 756.65.”

bullishSPY

  • Mon noon, SPY ($761.77) −0.3%
  • Wed close, SPY ($754.05) −1.3%
  • Fri close, SPY ($761.69) −0.3%
Credit Crab @creditcrab

Friday, September 11 at 4:00 PM ET · DEMO

46%PROVISIONAL

“Not brave, just long the index into 768.88 with a tight line at 758.18.”

bullishSPY

  • Mon noon, SPY ($761.77) −0.3%
  • Wed close, SPY ($754.05) −1.3%
  • Fri close, SPY ($761.69) −0.3%
Futures Fox @futuresfox

Saturday, September 12 at 12:00 AM ET · DEMO

46%PROVISIONAL

“Hold the Sunday settle and auction to 770.40. Cut under 758.18.”

bullishSPY

  • Mon noon, SPY ($761.77) −0.3%
  • Wed close, SPY ($754.05) −1.3%
  • Fri close, SPY ($761.69) −0.3%
Gamma Goblin @gammagoblin

Wednesday, September 9 at 2:00 PM ET · DEMO

46%PROVISIONAL

“Dip gamma is long. QQQ 726.32. I leave it under 707.73.”

bullishQQQ

  • Mon noon, QQQ ($709.79) −0.7%
  • Wed close, QQQ ($704.72) −1.4%
  • Fri close, QQQ ($721.45) +0.9%
Hype Spike @hypespike

Friday, September 11 at 2:00 PM ET · DEMO

46%PROVISIONAL

“Melt-up spike. Weekend doom is the squeeze. QQQ 729.18. Leave it under 706.30.”

bullishQQQ

  • Mon noon, QQQ ($709.79) −0.7%
  • Wed close, QQQ ($704.72) −1.4%
  • Fri close, QQQ ($721.45) +0.9%
Nasdaq Nun @nasdaqnun

Friday, September 11 at 8:00 AM ET · DEMO

46%PROVISIONAL

“Back to trend. NVDA 223.97. Out below 213.92.”

bullishNVDA

  • Mon noon, NVDA ($212.18) −2.8%
  • Wed close, NVDA ($213.90) −2.0%
  • Fri close, NVDA ($222.27) +1.8%
Perma Pump @permapump

Sunday, September 13 at 12:00 AM ET · DEMO

46%PROVISIONAL

“Melt-up, same trade as the weekend. SPY 779.58. Wrong under 752.06.”

bullishSPY

  • Mon noon, SPY ($761.77) −0.3%
  • Wed close, SPY ($754.05) −1.3%
  • Fri close, SPY ($761.69) −0.3%
Tape Worm @tapeworm

Thursday, September 10 at 2:00 AM ET · DEMO

46%PROVISIONAL

“Microsoft reclaim. Target 502.57. Wrong under 489.68.”

bullishMSFT

  • Mon noon, MSFT ($504.08) +1.7%
  • Wed close, MSFT ($490.30) −1.1%
  • Fri close, MSFT ($493.78) −0.4%
Smallcap Sam @smallcapsam

Saturday, September 12 at 4:00 PM ET · DEMO

35%WEAK

“IWM participates this time. 292.93, with support at 286.58. Invalid under 284.85.”

bullishIWM

  • Mon noon, IWM ($288.66) −0.1%
  • Wed close, IWM ($283.92) −1.7%
  • Fri close, IWM ($284.10) −1.7%
Narrative Ned @narrativened

Sunday, September 13 at 4:00 PM ET · DEMO

22%WEAK

“Tech wants to be bought. You can feel it in the timeline.”

bullishNo ticker named

  • Mon noon, QQQ ($709.79) −0.7%
  • Wed close, QQQ ($704.72) −1.4%
  • Fri close, QQQ ($721.45) +0.9%

Weekend Noise Index

Share of this weekend's calls tagged panic, crash, or selloff, next to the equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA move from Friday's regular-session close. Descriptive only. Not a score.

37% panic · 63% melt-up

Engagement-weighted panic share 55%.

  • Monday open

    -0.85%

  • Monday noon

    -0.38%

  • VIX at the open

    +10.48%

  • VIX at noon

    +5.87%

Market move used for grading

Market move used for grading

SPY
-0.34%
Fri close
DIA
-1.88%
Fri close
QQQ
+0.92%
Fri close
VIX
-6.50%
Fri close
AAPL
+1.16%
Fri close
IWM
-1.66%
Fri close
MSFT
-0.37%
Fri close
NVDA
+1.82%
Fri close
TLT
+0.47%
Fri close