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Demo watchlist account · rank 11 of 15 in this bucket

Vol Widow

@volwidow · Convexity hedge

Demo account. Hedges first, direction second.

Average grade
44%
Hit
61%
STRONG rate
28%
WEAK rate
28%
Graded calls
5

Rank 11 of 15

The number is the average of the furthest graded checkpoint on each call. Hit is the share of graded calls that were right. Best 74%. Worst 17%.

DEMO weekend book

Graded checkpoints only. A checkpoint with no grade yet is not on this card.

  • Vol Widow @volwidow

    Friday, September 18 at 12:00 AM ET · DEMO

    17%WEAK

    “Keep the hedge on. QQQ 715.68 is enough to pay for it. Off above 730.11.”

    bearishQQQ

    • Mon noon, QQQ ($737.15) +2.2%
    • Wed close, QQQ ($741.21) +2.7%
    • Fri close, QQQ ($744.50) +3.2%

Same noise, next week

Graded checkpoints only. A checkpoint with no grade yet is not on this card.

  • Vol Widow @volwidow

    Friday, September 11 at 12:00 AM ET · DEMO

    66%PROVISIONAL

    “Hedge the grind. QQQ 706.30 pays for the puts. Hedge off above 722.03.”

    bearishQQQ

    • Mon noon, QQQ ($709.79) −0.7%
    • Wed close, QQQ ($704.72) −1.4%
    • Fri close, QQQ ($721.45) +0.9%

Weekend doom

Settled grades only. Closed sessions are not on this card.

  • Vol Widow @volwidow

    Friday, September 4 at 12:00 AM ET · DEMO

    74%STRONG

    “Own the crash. Spot to 760.95 pays for the weekend panic. Hedge dies above 777.89.”

    bearishSPY

    • Mon noon, Not graded yet
    • Wed close, SPY ($762.40) −1.0%
    • Fri close, SPY ($764.29) −0.8%

Not graded yet · 2 horizons are not graded: the market was closed for Labor Day.

Panic with a pin

Graded checkpoints only. A checkpoint with no grade yet is not on this card.

  • Vol Widow @volwidow

    Friday, August 28 at 12:00 AM ET · DEMO

    66%PROVISIONAL

    “Realized stays quiet, but a drift under 760.12 pays the hedge. Stop 775.50.”

    bearishSPY

    • Mon noon, SPY ($765.42) −0.5%
    • Wed close, SPY ($765.16) −0.5%
    • Fri close, SPY ($770.19) +0.1%

Doom versus melt-up

Graded checkpoints only. A checkpoint with no grade yet is not on this card.

  • Vol Widow @volwidow

    Friday, August 21 at 12:00 AM ET · DEMO

    57%PROVISIONAL

    “Own the downside convexity. Spot does not need a crash, just a trip through 758.06. Hedge dies above 771.08.”

    bearishSPY

    • Mon noon, SPY ($764.52) −0.2%
    • Wed close, SPY ($766.08) 0.0%
    • Fri close, SPY ($769.35) +0.5%